DEMO / SIMULATED DATA — spreads, prices and persistence estimates are seeded for product evaluation. Not connected to any licensed market feed.
MLS · total
NY Red Bulls @ Chicago Fire
Total 2.5 · starts 7/28/2026, 6:06:12 PM
6.51%
Arbitrage spread (1 − Σ 1/odds)
Locked ROI 6.96%
equivalence conf 90%
persistence est ~150s
capacity ≈ $2,600
Opposing legs
Side A · DraftKings
+118
Over 2.5
- Decimal odds
- 2.1800
- Quote age
- 20s
Side B · BetMGM
+110
Under 2.5
- Decimal odds
- 2.1000
- Quote age
- 14s
Stake calculator
Stake DraftKings
$490.65
Stake BetMGM
$509.35
Guaranteed payout
$1,069.62
Locked profit
$69.62
Spread history (last 30 min)
min 0.000%velocity +0.247%/minmax 6.509%
Calculation breakdown
- 1 / decA
- 0.458716
- 1 / decB
- 0.476190
- impliedSum
- 0.934906
- arbitrageSpread = 1 − impliedSum
- 6.5094%
- lockedROI = 1/impliedSum − 1
- 6.9626%
Score components
- Spread
- 1.000
- Persistence prob.
- 0.500
- Execution conf.
- 0.720
- Bankroll fit (default)
- 0.850
- Composite (0–100)
- 31
Score is a heuristic estimate. Only the deterministic math determines whether an arbitrage exists.
Evidence & audit trail
- First seen 5:54:12 AM
- Last seen 6:06:12 AM
- Equivalence key: soccer:evt_006:total:2.5:std
- Provider: demo (simulated)